So we have a bit of a problem here with this race, top 3 from the Epsom equivalent have showed up and for me it seems like there is no reason to think they will finish in a different order so Ruler of the World falls out of that calculation. The problem is what was the Epsom form really like? Dawn Approach was the best horse in the race but ran no race and 2nd favourite Battle of Marengo 4th at Epsom didn't frank the form in the group 2 at Royal Ascot when he got beaten when odds on. So possible that the Epson form is not great and so 11-10 for Ruler of the World is poor value and I'm still not sure that Joesph is the greatest tactician and the other jockeys know that (Ryan Moore rode it at Epsom).
What else is there? lets take a look at Trading Leather & Sugar Boy. Trading Leather smashed by Battle of Marengo last September, but it was his first run and Battle of Marengo had the advantage of racecourse experience but given that the saddle slipped and he was eased down it was still a spanking, but this is a different season. Trading Leather's last race here was a cracker and gives him a strong chance in this given that he has the ground he needs.
Sugar Boy also been beaten by Battle of Marengo while he pulled too hard but it is fair to say that was also a bit of a stuffing. But at Sandown Sugar Boy, finally running on ground better than soft for the first time, put in a great performance battling well and beating Galileo Rock.
However, for me the fact that Trading Leather has his ground and the trip will be no problem he gets the vote at 11-2 still backable (just) each way to cover the chance that Ruler is the genuine article.
No comments:
Post a Comment